Yield Curve

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Commodity Strategist Mike McGlone Predicts a Recession as Top Catalyst for Gold’s Rise Above $2,000

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This week, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Macro Strategist Mike McGlone shared his March outlook and noted that the “top catalyst” that could push gold above the $2,000-per-ounce range is a recession. McGlone further explained in an update about bitcoin and the Nasdaq that a key ingredient to force the U.S. Federal Reserve to pivot its stance … Read more

‘Investors Are Running out of Havens’ — Erratic Behavior in US Bond Markets Points to Deep Recession, Elevated Sovereign Risk

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Yields on long-dated U.S. Treasuries have been erratic this year and this week, the 10-year Treasury yield crossed 3.5% for the first time in a decade. Following the Fed’s 75bps (basis points) rate hike, 10-year notes reached 3.642% and two-year Treasury notes jumped to a 15-year high at 4.090%. The curve between the two- and … Read more