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According to the blockchain-powered prediction market Polymarket, bettors are giving Telegram founder Pavel Durov a 36% chance of being released this month. Durov was taken into custody by French judicial police at Le Bourget airport in France, facing allegations related to facilitating crimes such as fraud, terrorism, and drug trafficking. Polymarket’s $200K Gamble: Will Durov … Read more
Vega Protocol has launched its prediction market feature as part of the Colosseo II upgrade. This new development allows users to bet on future events using the Cosmos network infrastructure, offering both binary and non-binary settlement options. The upgrade also includes live game scoring for real-time updates and enhanced cross-chain capabilities. Vega’s prediction market aims … Read more
Following the announcement that President Joe Biden will withdraw from the 2024 election, the prediction market Polymarket now indicates an 81% probability that Vice President Kamala Harris will be the Democratic nominee at the upcoming national convention. Polymarket Shows Kamala Harris as Democratic Favorite On Sunday afternoon, President Biden declared he would not seek re-election … Read more
According to metrics, the prediction market Polymarket has experienced notable volume over the past few weeks, with the firm reporting it accrued over $100 million in June and $8.2 million on the day the 2024 presidential candidates Donald Trump and Joe Biden debated on stage. The Rising Influence of the Prediction Market Polymarket Polymarket has … Read more
Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the 2024 election have risen, with the prediction market Polymarket reporting his odds at 66% as of July 2, 2024. Meanwhile, a wager worth $294 million indicates that incumbent President Joe Biden’s chances stand at 18%. Trump Favored Over Biden in 2024 Election According to Prediction Markets The Polygon-powered prediction … Read more
This weekend, following the first presidential debate of 2024, the prediction market Polymarket, powered by Polygon, saw a shift in the wager regarding whether incumbent President Joe Biden will withdraw from the race. Just two days prior, the odds of Biden stepping down were at 39%, and as of June 30, 2024, the probability has … Read more
With the 2024 election set for November, there’s growing curiosity about whom former President Donald Trump will select as his vice-presidential candidate. Currently, the decentralized prediction market Polymarket is featuring bets on a wide array of potential candidates, with this weekend showing a mystery candidate and Republican Senator J.D. Vance of Ohio as the frontrunners. … Read more
Ten days ago, after former President Donald Trump was convicted on 34 counts connected to a hush-money scheme, Polymarket bets indicated his chances of winning the 2024 election still stood at 54%, compared to incumbent President Joe Biden’s 40%. Since that time, the gap between Trump and Biden has widened significantly, with Polymarket odds increasingly … Read more
Following the landmark news of former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts related to a hush-money scheme allegedly influencing the 2016 election, data from the Polygon-powered prediction market Polymarket shows Trump still leading in forecast bets for the 2024 election. Convicted But Leading: Trump Tops 2024 Election Predictions on Polymarket According to Polymarket, Donald … Read more
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has ordered a “decentralized” prediction market platform to shut down non-compliant markets and pay a fine of $1.4 million. “Polymarket had been operating an illegal unregistered or non-designated facility for event-based binary options online trading contracts, known as ‘event markets,’” said the derivatives regulator. CFTC Takes First Crypto … Read more
