Polymarket

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36% Chance for Durov’s Freedom in August: Polymarket’s High-Stakes Bet on Telegram Founder’s Fate

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According to the blockchain-powered prediction market Polymarket, bettors are giving Telegram founder Pavel Durov a 36% chance of being released this month. Durov was taken into custody by French judicial police at Le Bourget airport in France, facing allegations related to facilitating crimes such as fraud, terrorism, and drug trafficking. Polymarket’s $200K Gamble: Will Durov … Read more

Polymarket Bets 10% on 2024 US Recession, Analyst Skeptical of Rate Cut’s Impact

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The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop a recession in the United States. On the flip side, … Read more

Polymarket Wager Shows Trump Taking the Lead in Nail-Biting 2024 Election Bet 

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On Aug. 22, 2024, Polymarket odds showed former President Donald Trump leading in the prediction market that pits him against Kamala Harris for the 2024 presidential election. As of 8:19 a.m. EDT on Thursday, Trump held a 53% chance of victory, edging out Harris, who currently sits at 46%. Polymarket and Several Other Betting Platforms … Read more

Polymarket Odds Suggest 81% Chance of RFK Jr. Exiting 2024 Race as Shanahan Hints at Trump Alliance

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Based on Polymarket odds, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a 2024 independent presidential candidate, has a 81% probability of exiting the race after his running mate, Nicole Shanahan, hinted that their campaign might align with former President Donald Trump. On Tuesday, the odds of Kennedy withdrawing peaked to it’s highest point yet. RFK Jr.’s Campaign Faces … Read more

Bets on Harris Slide in Predictions Market After Her Price Controls Plan Sparks Controversy

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In a twist of political fortunes, Vice President Kamala Harris, who had been leading in the race against former President Donald Trump for the 2024 election, saw her odds dip significantly after rolling out her economic plans. Over the past 72 hours on Polymarket, her chances have taken a hit, dropping four percentage points, while … Read more

Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Indicate Strong Odds for September Rate Cut

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Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch tool currently indicates a 75% likelihood of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut. Over on Polymarket, bettors are even more confident, showing an 82% chance of … Read more

Polymarket Open Interest Rebounds as August Set to Challenge July’s Record

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Polymarket, the leading blockchain-powered predictions platform, saw its highest monthly volume to date in July. However, August has so far captured just over 68% of July’s total volume, with 13 days still remaining in the month. Polymarket’s August Performance Signals Potential for Record-Breaking Month According to data from theblock.co, August is shaping up to be … Read more

Pandemic Fears Ignite as Mpox Outbreak Leads to High-Stakes Betting on Polymarket

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Recently, Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the Director-General of the World Health Organization (WHO), officially declared that the Mpox outbreak, commonly known as monkeypox, is now a public health emergency of international concern. Following this announcement, Polymarket users have started placing bets on whether Mpox will be categorized as a pandemic in 2024. Polymarket Bettors Give … Read more