Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability

With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch tool. Market … Read more

Will Trump and Harris Debate Again? Polymarket Bets Say There’s a 60% Chance

According to Polymarket’s betting odds, there’s a 60% chance we’ll see another debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, even though no additional debates are currently scheduled beyond the one held on Sept. 10, 2024. Bettors Place Their Bets on a Second Trump-Harris Debate Polymarket, a blockchain-driven prediction platform, has people … Read more

Trump and Harris Neck and Neck After Heated Debate, Polymarket Shows

Following the heated debate between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, Polymarket data revealed an intense tie between the two from 6 a.m. to 12 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, with each holding a 49% chance of winning. By 2:30 p.m., however, Trump edged ahead by a single percentage point, according to bettors … Read more

Harris Leads in Debate Betting, But Trump Dominates Swing States, Polymarket Shows

A wager valued at $155K on the prediction platform Polymarket is betting on Vice President Kamala Harris emerging victorious in Tuesday’s debate against former President Donald Trump. According to the latest polls, Harris holds a commanding 76% chance of winning, with the data being updated as of 2 p.m. EDT on Monday. Polymarket’s $155K Bet … Read more

Polymarket’s Traffic and Trading Volume Soar, $137.3M in September’s First 9 Days

In just over a week, the blockchain-powered prediction market platform Polymarket has generated an impressive $137.3 million in trading volume, already outpacing the total volume recorded during June and all prior months this year. Last Friday, Polymarket reached its highest daily trading volume in the last three months. Polymarket Outpaces June Volume in Just 9 … Read more

Trump Leads Harris by 7%, Wins Majority of Swing States, Polymarket Betting Shows

According to recent Polymarket data, former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris by seven percentage points as of Sept. 5, 2024. Polymarket’s betting on six key swing states shows Trump leading in four, including Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. Trump Holds 7% Lead Over Harris on Polymarket, General Polls Show a … Read more

Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction

On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently at 5.25%-5.50%, which … Read more

Polymarket Hits Record $472.87M in August Volume Amid Election Betting Frenzy

The blockchain-powered prediction market Polymarket saw an additional $85.84 million in trading volume during August, marking a notable uptick from July. August’s volume of $472.87 million set a new high, surpassing every month since Polymarket’s inception. Polymarket Volume Soars in August While some sectors faltered in August, Polymarket thrived, setting new records with $472.87 million … Read more

Trump Maintains Slight Advantage in Election Odds on Polymarket After Harris Interview 

After a 40-day interview hiatus, Vice President Kamala Harris has finally given her first Q&A session since President Joe Biden announced he won’t seek re-election in 2024. According to Polymarket’s election betting odds, former President Donald Trump is currently edging ahead, leading by a modest 1 percentage point. At the moment, Trump holds a 50% … Read more