US appeals court greenlights election prediction markets
The ruling paves the way for election prediction markets to operate in the United States. Go to Source
Polymarket
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Polymarket Predicts 61% Chance of 2024 Bitcoin All-Time High, 17% for $100K
With bitcoin trading above $65K, crypto enthusiasts are anticipating big price moves in October. Many still believe BTC will exceed its all-time high before the year ends. On Polymarket, a blockchain-powered predictions platform, the odds currently show a 61% chance that bitcoin will top the record it set seven months ago. Polymarket Bettors: Bitcoin Record … Read more
CFTC eyeing Polymarket, betting platforms amid US elections: Law Decoded
Polymarket and other offshore platforms are under CFTC scrutiny for compliance, and the SEC and German authorities are ramping up crypto crackdowns. Go to Source
Kamala Harris leading in 4 of 6 swing states on Polymarket
According to the current Polymarket odds, 77% of participants believe Vice President Kamala Harris is favored to win the popular vote. Go to Source
Betting Markets and Polls Show Harris Ahead of Trump as Election Nears
With only 44 days remaining until the U.S. election, the blockchain-powered predictions market Polymarket shows Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead in a wager against former President Donald Trump. As of Sunday, Sept. 22, Harris holds 52%, with Trump close on her heels at 47%. Harris Tops Trump in Polls and Prediction Markets as Countdown … Read more
CFTC eyeing Polymarket, betting platforms amid elections, says chair
If an offshore entity’s “footprint” in the US is big enough, they must register their derivative contracts or risk facing enforcement actions, says CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam. Go to Source
CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?
As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of a larger 50bps reduction. Predictions from betting market … Read more
‘Explosion’ in election gambling will harm public interest: CFTC
The US commodities regulator says prediction markets can be vulnerable to “spectacular manipulation.” Go to Source
Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMC
The market is holding out hope for a bigger rate cut as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) prepares to meet on Wednesday. Predictions from Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest there’s a growing expectation that a 50 basis points reduction could be in play. FOMC Meeting Could See Bigger Rate Cut as Expectations Shift … Read more
Bettors on Polymarket See 69% Chance of Trump Launching a Token Before Election
Two days ago, former President Donald Trump made headlines by announcing his family’s decentralized finance (defi) platform, World Liberty Financial, boldly claiming the initiative is “embracing the future with crypto.” Meanwhile, over on Polymarket, a blockchain-powered predictions platform, a new bet has emerged. People are now speculating on the chances of Trump launching a cryptocurrency … Read more
