Prediction markets are not being manipulated — Kalshi founder
The most recent Polymarket odds put Trump’s chances of winning the 2024 Presidential election at 60.3% and winning all six swing states. Go to Source
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The most recent Polymarket odds put Trump’s chances of winning the 2024 Presidential election at 60.3% and winning all six swing states. Go to Source
Following former President Donald Trump gaining a dominant lead in his odds against Vice President Kamala Harris for the 2024 election, as tracked by Polymarket bettors, a group of skeptics suspects the odds are being skewed by large-scale gamblers, often called “whales.” On the flip side, others find these manipulation theories unconvincing, urging doubters to … Read more
Presidential candidate Donald Trump recently acknowledged the existence of the crypto-based prediction market platform Polymarket. In a video posted on Polymarket’s X account, Trump referred to the platform as “a new phenomenon gambling poll,” mistakenly calling it Poly-Poll.” “I’ve never heard of it,” Trump stated, while someone in the audience corrected him about the platform’s … Read more
Assessing potential manipulation in prediction markets is becoming increasingly important, with less than three weeks until the US presidential election. Go to Source
According to recent data, Polymarket’s October trading volume has already eclipsed September’s figures, with two weeks still remaining in the month. Impressively, the volume has hit a record high, approaching $1 billion in just over two weeks, ahead of the 2024 U.S. election. $917M and Growing: Analyzing Polymarket’s Record-Breaking October At the time of this … Read more
The prediction marketplace has certified more than a dozen political event contracts since prevailing in a court battle in September. Go to Source
Analysts at global research and brokerage firm Bernstein say bitcoin’s surge is fueled by Donald Trump’s rising chances in the 2024 election. They point to Microstrategy’s stock, soaring 191% this year, as a key signal of a looming market breakout. With Trump leading in key swing states, his election odds are igniting a stronger crypto … Read more
According to the latest data from Polymarket, former President Donald Trump is holding a commanding lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the race for the 2024 election. As of Tuesday afternoon, Trump’s odds stand at 58.3%, compared to Harris’s 41.5%. Trump Leads Harris in 2024 Election Odds, Dominates Key Swing States On Oct. 15, … Read more
Decentralized prediction markets could offer more accurate predictions for the US elections than traditional polling systems, according to Elon Musk. Go to Source
According to Polymarket users, Vice President Kamala Harris is currently favored to win the popular vote by a staggering 72% margin. Go to Source