Biden Exits 2024 Election, Polymarket Predicts Kamala Harris as Leading Democratic Nominee

Following the announcement that President Joe Biden will withdraw from the 2024 election, the prediction market Polymarket now indicates an 81% probability that Vice President Kamala Harris will be the Democratic nominee at the upcoming national convention. Polymarket Shows Kamala Harris as Democratic Favorite On Sunday afternoon, President Biden declared he would not seek re-election … Read more

Trump’s Election Odds Continue to Surge Post-Assassination Attempt: Polymarket Bets Hit 71%

Immediately following the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, prediction market odds on Polymarket saw Trump’s chances of winning the election rise to 68%. Days after the event, Trump’s odds have continued to rise with the chances of winning the 2024 general election up to 71%. Trump’s Polymarket Odds Reach 71% Days After Attempted … Read more

Trump’s Odds of Winning Presidential Election Soar in Prediction Markets After Assassination Attempt

Former U.S. President and current presidential candidate Donald Trump was shot at a rally in Pennsylvania. Gunfire erupted while he was speaking, prompting Secret Service agents to rush him off the stage. Trump was seen with blood on the side of his head and ear. His chance of winning the November presidential election immediately surged … Read more

Polymarket Odds of Biden Dropping Out Spike to 61% After Pelosi Urges 2024 Decision

On Wednesday, former U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi urged President Joe Biden to decide soon on whether to run, stating that “time is running short.” Following this, Polymarket bets surged to 61% in the afternoon, reflecting the odds of Biden stepping down. Currently, those odds have slightly decreased to 59%. Biden’s Drop-Out Odds Surge During … Read more

2024 Election Bets Propel Polymarket to $111 Million in June Volume

According to metrics, the prediction market Polymarket has experienced notable volume over the past few weeks, with the firm reporting it accrued over $100 million in June and $8.2 million on the day the 2024 presidential candidates Donald Trump and Joe Biden debated on stage. The Rising Influence of the Prediction Market Polymarket Polymarket has … Read more

Trump’s 2024 Election Odds Jump to 66% on Polymarket; GOP Expected to Control Congress

Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the 2024 election have risen, with the prediction market Polymarket reporting his odds at 66% as of July 2, 2024. Meanwhile, a wager worth $294 million indicates that incumbent President Joe Biden’s chances stand at 18%. Trump Favored Over Biden in 2024 Election According to Prediction Markets The Polygon-powered prediction … Read more

Polymarket Bet on Biden Dropping Out Rises to 50% as Camp David Retreat Fuels Speculation

This weekend, following the first presidential debate of 2024, the prediction market Polymarket, powered by Polygon, saw a shift in the wager regarding whether incumbent President Joe Biden will withdraw from the race. Just two days prior, the odds of Biden stepping down were at 39%, and as of June 30, 2024, the probability has … Read more