CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?

As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of a larger 50bps reduction. Predictions from betting market … Read more

Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMC

The market is holding out hope for a bigger rate cut as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) prepares to meet on Wednesday. Predictions from Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest there’s a growing expectation that a 50 basis points reduction could be in play. FOMC Meeting Could See Bigger Rate Cut as Expectations Shift … Read more

Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability

With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch tool. Market … Read more

Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction

On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently at 5.25%-5.50%, which … Read more

The Fed Under Fire: Elizabeth Warren Pushes for Unprecedented Rate Cut

As the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gears up for its meeting on Sept. 18, anticipation is building for a rate cut. Market participants are placing their bets, with expectations leaning toward either a 25 basis points (bps) reduction or a 50bps cut. However, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is urging the Fed … Read more

Bitcoin Bulls Charge Toward $62K as Fed’s Minutes Triggers Market Frenzy

Bitcoin’s price hit $61,838 per coin by 3:45 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, after spending much of the day lingering below the $60,000 mark. The crypto market mirrored the upward movement seen in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which both rallied just before the closing bell. This newfound optimism is largely being credited to the Federal … Read more

No Rate Cuts Yet: Fed Maintains Rates at Historic Highs 

The U.S. Federal Reserve has opted to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 5.25-5.5%, according to the latest report from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The committee noted that while inflation has eased over the past year, it remains somewhat elevated, with the overarching goal being to bring inflation down to the … Read more