Rate Cut Roulette: Bettors and Analysts Divided on Fed’s Next Step

Based on current data, 24 days before the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, there’s a 52.7% likelihood of a quarter-point rate cut, according to CME Group’s Fedwatch tool. Markets Signal Mixed Messages Ahead of FOMC Meeting The U.S. Federal Reserve‘s federal funds rate outlook for December remains a toss-up. The odds of no … Read more

CME Fedwatch Favors Half-Point Cut Ahead of FOMC Meeting

In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two days after the 2024 U.S. Election Day. As it stands, CME futures data suggests that a half-point reduction is currently viewed as more probable than … Read more

Fed Slashes Benchmark Interest Rate by 50bps in First Cut Since 2020

On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate for the first time since March 2020. The Sept. 18, 2024 rate cut amounted to 50 basis points (bps), a notably bigger adjustment than many analysts anticipated. According to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press release, the central bank remains focused on reaching … Read more