Former Commerce Secretary Warns US Headed for Recession

Former Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross has warned of an impending U.S. recession due to the lingering effects of pandemic-related stimulus. While Wall Street maintains a more optimistic outlook, citing strong GDP and low unemployment, Ross argues that the economy was artificially inflated by the $5 trillion in stimulus. He points to inflation, high consumer prices, … Read more

Fedwatch Tool Shows 50-50 Chance for 25bps or 50bps Cut Before FOMC

The market is holding out hope for a bigger rate cut as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) prepares to meet on Wednesday. Predictions from Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest there’s a growing expectation that a 50 basis points reduction could be in play. FOMC Meeting Could See Bigger Rate Cut as Expectations Shift … Read more

Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability

With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch tool. Market … Read more

Calm Markets: Stocks, Crypto, and Gold Show Little Movement Post CPI

The latest consumer price index (CPI) from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that inflation cooled to 2.5% in August, marking the slowest rate since 2021. Meanwhile, core CPI, which strips out the fluctuating food and energy sectors, posted a 0.3% increase for the month. Stocks, Bitcoin, and Gold Unmoved by CPI Data On … Read more

North Carolina Rejects Federal Digital Currency, Overrides Governor’s Veto

The North Carolina General Assembly has overridden Governor Roy Cooper’s veto to enact a bill prohibiting a central bank digital currency (CBDC) in the state. The Senate voted 27-17, securing the required supermajority. The bill bars payments using CBDC and state participation in Federal Reserve testing. This bill reflects strong opposition to CBDCs and emphasizes … Read more

Fed Report Explores How Crypto Price Changes Affect Ownership

A report by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s Consumer Finance Institute found that cryptocurrency ownership declined during market downturns, despite price increases in bitcoin. Data from multiple surveys showed that crypto interest and ownership did not rise, even as prices surged. The report suggests further research into consumer behavior in response to market fluctuations … Read more

Rising Yield Curve and Jobs Miss Add to Economic Jitters, Stocks and Bitcoin Slide

Equities kicked off Friday on a quiet note, with little movement as the latest U.S. labor market report unveiled a softer-than-anticipated addition of 142,000 jobs for August. The data only adds to growing recession concerns, layering on top of several earlier signs hinting at an economic slowdown. Meanwhile, the 10-2 year Treasury yield spread has … Read more