Global Bond Market Alarm: 26 Countries Now Facing Inverted Yield Curves

While the U.S. recently marked the longest period of inverted bond yields in history, surpassing two years, data indicates that a total of 26 countries now have an inverted yield curve. Investors and economists closely monitor yield curve inversions, as they have historically signaled an increased likelihood of economic recessions. From the U.S. to Europe: … Read more

Longest Yield Curve Inversion in US History Continues Past 2-Year Mark

The 10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread (I:102YTYS) has been inverted since July 7, 2022, marking the longest period of inversion in U.S. history at over two years, surpassing the previous record of 624 days set in 1978. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term bonds yield more than their long-term counterparts, reversing the typical financial … Read more

Historic Yield Curve Inversion Reaches 656 Days, Echoing Pre-Stock Market Crash Patterns

Based on the latest data, the yield curve of the U.S. Treasury, which charts the yields for two-year and ten-year bonds, has remained inverted for a total of 656 days. This latest inversion joins previous records set in 1929, 1974, and 2008, all of which preceded substantial declines in the stock market. Recently, market observers … Read more

Report: US Central Bank Loses Billions From Rate Hikes, ‘Losses Pile up Into an IOU’

While the U.S. Federal Reserve ramped up the benchmark bank rate with a barrage of rate hikes, U.S. Treasury markets and global bond markets, in general, have seen one of the worst selloffs in over a decade. The Fed’s actions has fueled criticism toward the U.S. central bank as some strategists believe the onslaught of … Read more

Analysts Say an Onslaught of Fed Rate Hikes Could Spur a ‘Bond Market Flash Crash’ or ‘Blow up the Treasury’

The U.S. economy has been struggling with inflation running rampant and investors are eagerly waiting for the U.S. Federal Reserve to announce the next federal funds rate hike next month. Harris Kupperman, the founder of the hedge fund Praetorian Capital, believes the onslaught of Fed rate hikes could very well “blow up the Treasury.” Furthermore, … Read more

‘Investors Are Running out of Havens’ — Erratic Behavior in US Bond Markets Points to Deep Recession, Elevated Sovereign Risk

Yields on long-dated U.S. Treasuries have been erratic this year and this week, the 10-year Treasury yield crossed 3.5% for the first time in a decade. Following the Fed’s 75bps (basis points) rate hike, 10-year notes reached 3.642% and two-year Treasury notes jumped to a 15-year high at 4.090%. The curve between the two- and … Read more

Crypto, Stocks, PMs Sink Lower — All Eyes on the Fed’s Next Rate Hike as Ethereum’s Merge Hype Wavers

The crypto economy has slipped under the $1 trillion range once again after briefly rising to a high of $1.16 trillion on September 14. Signs show that Ethereum’s Merge hype has seemingly left the building and market participants are now waiting for the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting next week. Presently, the crypto economy is down … Read more

Rome’s Financial Volatility to Shock the Eurozone — Hedge Funds Bet $39 Billion Against Italian Debt

Hedge funds are betting against Rome’s liabilities as S&P Market Intelligence data indicates investors have amassed a $37 billion short bet against Italian debt. The hedge funds are betting large against Italian bonds and investors haven’t bet this high against Rome since 2008, as Italy faces political uncertainty, an energy crisis, and an inflation rate … Read more

The World Bank’s Blockchain Bond Is Just a Fancy Way of Selling Debt

Last year the World Bank and the Commonwealth Bank of Australia announced a permissioned Ethereum-based blockchain to facilitate the end-to-end issuance of bonds between financial partners. The Bretton Woods-created financial institution hopes to make debt capital markets far more efficient with a bank-to-bank blockchain network. At the same time, the World Bank’s bond scheme has … Read more